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APAC shippers may need to prepare for an expensive H2 2026 – Dimerco Freight Report

The Asia-Pacific freight market is entering a period where cost pressures, fuel volatility, geopolitical uncertainty, and operational disruptions are becoming increasingly interconnected..

While many shippers have spent the last year focusing on freight rates and capacity availability, the June 2026 Asia Pacific Freight Report from Dimerco suggests that the conversation may now be shifting towards something far more complex, namely the cumulative impact of fuel costs, carrier surcharges, congestion, transshipment disruptions, and changing supply chain patterns..

For businesses moving cargo across Asia, Europe, North America, and the Middle East, this could mean that freight costs become harder to predict, transit times become less reliable, and planning assumptions that worked a few months ago may no longer hold true..

Fuel is becoming a major supply chain variable

One of the strongest themes emerging across the market is the growing influence of fuel-related costs..

Whether moving cargo by air or sea, carriers are facing continued pressure from energy markets and fuel price volatility. This is affecting operating costs, carrier behaviour and, ultimately, freight pricing..

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The result is that shippers may find themselves paying more attention to surcharges, fuel adjustments, and route-specific cost increases rather than simply comparing headline freight rates..

Capacity remains available, but reliability is the challenge

Across much of Asia Pacific, the issue is not necessarily a complete lack of capacity..

Instead, shippers are increasingly dealing with congestion, blank sailings, schedule changes, transshipment delays, and operational bottlenecks that can disrupt carefully planned supply chains..

In several key markets, freight may still be moving, but not always according to the schedules originally planned..

For cargo owners, importers, and exporters, reliability may prove just as important as price during the months ahead..

Southeast Asia continues to attract attention

As companies continue diversifying sourcing and manufacturing activities across the region, Southeast Asia remains an important growth area for global trade..

Countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Malaysia continue to play a larger role in regional and global supply chains..

However, increased activity also brings additional pressure on infrastructure, feeder services, airports, and ports, creating new challenges alongside the opportunities..

India’s importance continues to grow

India’s position within global supply chains continues to strengthen..

At the same time, the country faces some of the same operational challenges affecting many high-growth markets, including congestion, capacity management, and increasing demand across multiple trade corridors..

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For businesses using India as either a sourcing hub or consumer market, understanding these developments will be increasingly important when planning logistics strategies for the remainder of the year..

Geopolitical events continue to shape freight markets

The freight industry has become accustomed to dealing with geopolitical disruptions, but recent developments continue to demonstrate how quickly global events can influence logistics networks..

Changes in routing, energy flows, insurance considerations, and carrier operating strategies can create ripple effects that extend far beyond the regions directly affected..

The impact is often felt through higher costs, longer transit times, and greater uncertainty for supply chain planners..

What should shippers be watching..??

While every industry and trade lane faces different challenges, several questions are becoming increasingly relevant:

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  • How exposed is your supply chain to fuel-related cost increases..??
  • Are your current lead times sufficient to absorb unexpected disruptions..??
  • How dependent are your shipments on major transshipment hubs..??
  • What contingency plans exist if schedules become less reliable..??
  • Are your freight budgets prepared for additional surcharges and operational costs..??

These are the types of questions that supply chain leaders may need to address as market conditions evolve through the second half of 2026..

Download the full report

The June 2026 Asia Pacific Freight Report from Dimerco provides a detailed assessment of market conditions across Northeast Asia, China, Southeast Asia, India, Australia, Europe, North America, and Mexico..

The report includes country-specific freight forecasts, capacity outlooks, rate expectations, market conditions, and recommendations designed to help shippers navigate an increasingly complex logistics environment..

For businesses involved in international trade, it provides valuable insight into the factors likely to influence freight markets in the coming months and highlights the developments worth monitoring as 2026 progresses..


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About the Author

Hariesh Manaadiar
Hariesh Manaadiarhttps://www.shippingandfreightresource.com
I am Hariesh Manaadiar, Founder of Shipping and Freight Resource.. I have been working in the global transport and trade ecosystem since 1989 across shipping, freight, logistics, supply chain and trade.. I share insights and knowledge across the industry from bills of lading and trade documentation to ports, maritime regulation, freight markets, and the digitalisation of global trade.. My work sits under Making Global Trade FITâ„¢, built on a simple philosophy.. Every trade challenge can be fixed, explained or taught.. HM Business Solutions FIXES trade challenges, Shipping and Freight Resource INFORMS the industry, and Shipping and Freight Academy TRAINS for capability.. Since 2008, this resource has helped businesses make sense of complexity in global trade, and has been read by over 11.4 million visitors from 230 countries.. I have also delivered training and developed guides for organisations including UNICEF, Texas State University, the University of Plymouth, and AMTOI India.. Stay subscribed for free and useful content from across the industry..

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